- Mon Dec 30, 2019 4:33 pm
#7591
After a bright start to the season, it really does now feel like we are in the quagmire of a relegation battle. I have been through each of the remaining fixtures and predicted results and ultimately think it is a three horse race between ourselves, Wasps and Leicester. Saracens will make up the points difference with ease and Worcester and Quins will pick up too many home wins.
This is based entirely on predicted results, but I see us falling a couple of points short of survival if everything goes according to script (of course, this does not take into account injuries or anything else unexpected). I will keep this updated as the season goes on.
Irish (12 points)
Exeter (H) - 0 points
Northampton (A) - 0 points
Harlequins (A) - 1 point (as this fixture comes during the Six Nations it is one we should be targeting as a surprise away win, but for now have gone with home advantage)
Gloucester (H) - 1 point
Wasps (H) - 4 points
Sale (A) - 0 points
Bath (A) - 0 points
Northampton (H) - 1 point
Leicester (A) - 1 point (with returning internationals post Six Nations, I struggle to see us getting anything more from this game)
Saracens (H) - 0 points
Gloucester (A) - 0 points
Harlequins (H)- 4 points
Worcester (H) - 4 points
Exeter (A) - 0 points
Bristol (H) - 1 point
Estimated total: 29
Leicester (6 points)
Bristol (H) - 4 points (Bristol have hit a bad run of form at the wrong time and this is simply a must win match for Tigers)
Bath (A) - 1 point
Wasps (H) - 4 points
Sale (A) - 0 points
Worcester (H) - 4 points
Saracens (A) - 0 points
Exeter (A) - 0 points
Bath (H) - 4 points
Irish (H) - 5 points (expect with Ford pulling the strings post Six Nations, they will put 4 tries past us, even if we stick within 7)
Gloucester (A) - 0 points
Sale (H) - 4 points
Wasps (A) - 1 point
Northampton (H) - 1 point
Bristol (A) - 1 point
Quins (H) - 5 points
Estimated total: 40
Wasps (11 points)
Northampton (H) - 1 point
Worcester (A) - 1 point
Leicester (A) - 1 point
Saracens (H) - 0 points
Irish (A) - 1 point
Gloucester (H) - 1 point
Northampton (A) - 0 points
Worcester (H) - 4 points
Sale (H) - 1 point
Bath (A) - 0 points
Saracens (A) - 0 points
Leicester (H) - 4 points
Bristol (H) - 4 points
Quins (A) - 1 point
Exeter (H) - 1 point
Estimated total: 31 points
This is based entirely on predicted results, but I see us falling a couple of points short of survival if everything goes according to script (of course, this does not take into account injuries or anything else unexpected). I will keep this updated as the season goes on.
Irish (12 points)
Exeter (H) - 0 points
Northampton (A) - 0 points
Harlequins (A) - 1 point (as this fixture comes during the Six Nations it is one we should be targeting as a surprise away win, but for now have gone with home advantage)
Gloucester (H) - 1 point
Wasps (H) - 4 points
Sale (A) - 0 points
Bath (A) - 0 points
Northampton (H) - 1 point
Leicester (A) - 1 point (with returning internationals post Six Nations, I struggle to see us getting anything more from this game)
Saracens (H) - 0 points
Gloucester (A) - 0 points
Harlequins (H)- 4 points
Worcester (H) - 4 points
Exeter (A) - 0 points
Bristol (H) - 1 point
Estimated total: 29
Leicester (6 points)
Bristol (H) - 4 points (Bristol have hit a bad run of form at the wrong time and this is simply a must win match for Tigers)
Bath (A) - 1 point
Wasps (H) - 4 points
Sale (A) - 0 points
Worcester (H) - 4 points
Saracens (A) - 0 points
Exeter (A) - 0 points
Bath (H) - 4 points
Irish (H) - 5 points (expect with Ford pulling the strings post Six Nations, they will put 4 tries past us, even if we stick within 7)
Gloucester (A) - 0 points
Sale (H) - 4 points
Wasps (A) - 1 point
Northampton (H) - 1 point
Bristol (A) - 1 point
Quins (H) - 5 points
Estimated total: 40
Wasps (11 points)
Northampton (H) - 1 point
Worcester (A) - 1 point
Leicester (A) - 1 point
Saracens (H) - 0 points
Irish (A) - 1 point
Gloucester (H) - 1 point
Northampton (A) - 0 points
Worcester (H) - 4 points
Sale (H) - 1 point
Bath (A) - 0 points
Saracens (A) - 0 points
Leicester (H) - 4 points
Bristol (H) - 4 points
Quins (A) - 1 point
Exeter (H) - 1 point
Estimated total: 31 points